In fact, most pollsters believe that, on balance, state polls are overstating the scale of Biden’s advantage.But that doesn’t mean the president’s standing is quite as dire as it looks on paper — the problem that pollsters identified in 2016 remains. And I do think that things will be closer in the states than the polls indicate right now.”“There’s still a number of state polls, in particular, that are not fixing this issue,” said Kennedy.GOP pollster Glen Bolger said he believes a combination of pollsters’ inability to get the right educational mix and to persuade potential Trump voters to respond and answer truthfully to phone polls is pointing their surveys in a slightly Democratic direction.That was precisely the problem in 2016: The national polls were largely accurate, to within the margin of error.
And that happens to be a part of his base that he is very in tune with. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. But in the process, Trump may only demonstrate how much the country has changed since Nixon's time. Breaking down the COVID-19 death rate in the US. Figures in 2020 are from a New York Times/Siena College poll of 3,870 registered voters from June 8 to June 18. Critically, this spring's polling consistently shows that Trump's belligerent message on race is alienating not only the growing number of voters of color but also the same college-educated White voters already uneasy over his handling of the coronavirus.Observers in both parties believe Trump sees his defiance of local officials and medical experts on the rallies as a way to reinforce his identity as an outsider who will break the rules to defend his voters' interests. Recent polls put him ahead of President Donald Trump in the upcoming election. | Drew Angerer/Getty ImagesActing Homeland Security Secretary Chad Wolf told reporters Wednesday that Gov. But the president's traditional behavior always comes back.The announcement is the latest development in Trump’s Republican National Convention walk-back and comes days after the president canceled his plans to host the convention's keynote events in Jacksonville, Fla.More than 60 percent of voters think the U.S. should fully test any coronavirus vaccine — even if that delays rolling it out and allows the virus to keep spreading in the meantime, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.President Donald Trump addresses the United Nations General Assembly in 2019. After initially indicating some concern about Floyd's death, Trump has retreated to more familiar ground by urging greater force against violent protesters (and actually applying it before his walk to St. John's church), highlighting those racially inflammatory videos and repeatedly denouncing the Black Lives Matter movement.Despite the differences in the overall margins, these analyses converged around one key point: All of them showed Clinton winning among White women with a college education.